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Global Investor: Navigating International Markets

Global Investor: Navigating International Markets

01/27/2026
Matheus Moraes
Global Investor: Navigating International Markets

As we step into 2026, investors face a world where opportunities are more diverse and compelling than ever before. With economies evolving and markets shifting, crafting a resilient portfolio requires insight, agility, and a clear understanding of global trends.

2026 Market Overview and Key Themes

The investment environment this year is defined by above-trend growth, easing policy, and accelerating productivity. Central banks have signaled a pause in rate hikes and may even look to trim rates, creating a backdrop that rewards selective risk-taking across asset classes.

Goldman Sachs Research projects global economic growth of 2.8% in 2026, a modest moderation from 2025 but still above consensus. As liquidity-driven rallies give way to fundamentals and active management, investors can capitalize on sectors and regions poised for long-term expansion.

Emerging Markets: The Primary Opportunity

Emerging market equities have compelling fundamentals that set the stage for potential outperformance. After years of under-ownership and discounted valuations, this segment is attracting renewed capital flows.

Valuation Case: Emerging markets trade at attractive multiples relative to developed peers:

  • Forward P/E of just 14x for 2026, historically cheap compared to long-term averages
  • Significant valuation discount to US and other developed markets on earnings and book-value metrics
  • PEG ratio at 0.9x offers superior growth at lower cost versus the S&P 500

Performance Drivers: A combination of cyclical tailwinds and durable trends supports the case for emerging markets:

  • Weaker US dollar boosting returns through currency appreciation and more favorable global financial conditions
  • Light investor positioning paves the way for multiple expansion after years of outflows
  • Stronger demographic profiles and rising domestic consumption underpin GDP growth outpacing developed markets
  • Ongoing investment in manufacturing, infrastructure, and digital ecosystems fuels structural growth

With 38% of fund managers citing emerging markets as the most attractive opportunity in 2026, momentum is building. After lagging for years, emerging market equities have turned a corner, recording strong inflows and outperforming peers.

Regional & Sectoral Highlights

Within emerging markets, select regions and sectors stand out for their growth potential and innovation leadership.

China: A renewed focus on semiconductors, consumer discretionary, power equipment, and biotech is supporting a positive equity outlook. Fiscal and monetary support is being channeled into technology upgrades and domestic consumption.

India: Boasting an expected GDP expansion of 6.7% and record-high stock indices, India’s market is fueled by auto makers, banks, energy, and real estate. Policy reforms, including opening the finance sector to global investors, sustain strong domestic demand momentum.

South Korea: The technology-driven economy benefits from global AI infrastructure rollouts and robust demand for memory chips. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are at the forefront, supplying pivotal components for data centers and high-performance computing.

Additional emerging opportunities:

  • Mexico and Southeast Asia: Supply-chain diversification and near-shoring trends
  • Brazil and the Gulf: Yield-oriented sectors with improving macro stability
  • Taiwan: A key driver of earnings growth for EM ex-China

Developed Markets Perspective

While emerging markets captivate with growth narratives, developed markets offer stability and innovation leadership of their own.

United States: The economy is poised to remain resilient, with small-cap stocks leading positive earnings revisions. The S&P 500 is projected to deliver almost 14% earnings growth, broadening beyond mega-cap leadership.

Europe: Earnings growth is set to rebound to 10% for the first time since 2022. Policymakers are increasing fiscal spending in response to shifting geopolitics, underpinning improvement in rate-sensitive sectors.

Japan: Supported by fiscal expansion and robust private demand, Japan benefits from strategic spending aimed at boosting self-sufficiency and technological edge in a changing global landscape.

Investment Themes and Sectors

Innovation and infrastructure remain powerful engines of value creation across all markets in 2026.

Artificial Intelligence: AI-driven investment permeates beyond technology, reshaping industries from healthcare to energy. Policy support and accelerating demand for power and data centers bolster infrastructure outlooks.

Infrastructure: Decarbonization efforts, policy tailwinds, and AI-related power needs drive robust opportunities in renewable energy, data centers, and transportation networks.

Private Markets: Private equity activity is resurging. Buyout deals over $500 million rose 20%, with median EBITDA multiples at a record high. Exit values as a share of new buyouts reached multi-year peaks.

Income Generation: For yield-focused investors, dividend stocks, emerging market debt, securitized assets, and options strategies offer attractive income streams in a low-rate environment.

Portfolio Construction and Strategy Recommendations

In a world where regional drivers diverge and correlations fall, selectivity and diversification are critical. Investors should reassess global allocations that have been heavily skewed toward US mega-caps.

For emerging market exposure, two approaches stand out:

Individual stock selection: Investors can target leading names such as Alibaba, Tencent, HDFC Bank, Infosys, and Samsung Electronics through dual listings or depository receipts.

Fund-based approach: Broad emerging market funds or thematic vehicles provide diversified access and professional management, ideal for long-term wealth compounding.

Ultimately, a balanced blend of growth and income, diversified across regions and sectors, can harness the full spectrum of opportunities in 2026. By combining active management with a disciplined risk framework, investors can position portfolios to navigate volatility and capture emerging themes.

As global markets continue to evolve, the key to success lies in thoughtful allocation, rigorous research, and the courage to embrace new frontiers. In this dynamic landscape, those who adapt and innovate will reap the rewards of a truly global investment journey.

Matheus Moraes

About the Author: Matheus Moraes

Matheus Moraes